Bologna FC 1909
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Mon, 24 Aug 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 0-1
SS Lazio
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
39.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.17-1.11; Elo differential is 46. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 2.2pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Bologna FC 1909 | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| Avg goals against | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| BTTS rate | 43% | 39% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Bologna FC 1909 win
36.9%
Draw
24.0%
SS Lazio win
39.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Double Chance
1X (Bologna FC 1909 or draw)
60.9%
X2 (draw or SS Lazio)
63.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Over 2.5
38.5%
Under 2.5
61.5%
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Under 4.5
92.6%
Clean Sheet
Bologna FC 1909 clean sheet
33.5%
SS Lazio clean sheet
31.1%
Draw No Bet
Bologna FC 1909 win
48.5%
SS Lazio win
51.5%