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Eredivisie FINISHED
Willem II Tilburg Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-6
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

53.9%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.09-1.85; Elo differential is -86. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 30.5pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 18 vs 12.

Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Team form

Willem II TilburgSC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
Avg goals for0.861.40
Avg goals against2.792.13
BTTS rate74%60%
Games sampled——
Position1812

Full market breakdown

1X2

Willem II Tilburg win
22.6%
Draw
23.5%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win
53.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%

Double Chance

1X (Willem II Tilburg or draw)
46.1%
X2 (draw or SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden)
77.4%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
94.1%
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Under 4.5
82.5%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg clean sheet
15.7%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden clean sheet
33.6%

Draw No Bet

Willem II Tilburg win
29.5%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win
70.5%