FC Utrecht
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-1
PEC Zwolle
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.37-1.28; Elo differential is 171. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 42.2pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 16.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| FC Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.75 | 0.90 |
| Avg goals against | 2.36 | 2.45 |
| BTTS rate | 73% | 48% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Utrecht win
61.5%
Draw
19.2%
PEC Zwolle win
19.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Double Chance
1X (FC Utrecht or draw)
80.7%
X2 (draw or PEC Zwolle)
38.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Over 2.5
70.5%
Under 2.5
29.5%
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Under 4.5
69.8%
Clean Sheet
FC Utrecht clean sheet
27.8%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet
9.4%
Draw No Bet
FC Utrecht win
76.1%
PEC Zwolle win
23.9%