Willem II Tilburg
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-1
Fortuna Sittard
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
51.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.52-2.13; Elo differential is -58. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 24.4pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 6.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Willem II Tilburg | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.32 | 1.62 |
| Avg goals against | 3.14 | 1.88 |
| BTTS rate | 97% | 78% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 6 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Willem II Tilburg win
26.9%
Draw
21.9%
Fortuna Sittard win
51.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Double Chance
1X (Willem II Tilburg or draw)
48.7%
X2 (draw or Fortuna Sittard)
73.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Over 2.5
70.5%
Under 2.5
29.5%
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Under 4.5
69.8%
Clean Sheet
Willem II Tilburg clean sheet
11.9%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet
22.0%
Draw No Bet
Willem II Tilburg win
34.4%
Fortuna Sittard win
65.6%