Sparta Rotterdam
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 16:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-4
SC Heerenveen
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
38.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.54-1.58; Elo differential is -16. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 2.0pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 12.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Sparta Rotterdam | SC Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.44 | 1.47 |
| Avg goals against | 1.88 | 1.47 |
| BTTS rate | 65% | 52% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam win
36.5%
Draw
25.1%
SC Heerenveen win
38.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Double Chance
1X (Sparta Rotterdam or draw)
61.5%
X2 (draw or SC Heerenveen)
63.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Under 4.5
79.5%
Clean Sheet
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet
20.6%
SC Heerenveen clean sheet
21.5%
Draw No Bet
Sparta Rotterdam win
48.6%
SC Heerenveen win
51.4%