Racing Club de Lens
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
Paris FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
56.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.98-1.10; Elo differential is 98. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 48%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 34.0pp; entropy 0.90. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 4.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Racing Club de Lens | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.00 | 1.37 |
| Avg goals against | 1.49 | 0.91 |
| BTTS rate | 72% | 45% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Racing Club de Lens win
56.4%
Draw
22.3%
Paris FC win
21.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Double Chance
1X (Racing Club de Lens or draw)
78.7%
X2 (draw or Paris FC)
43.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Under 4.5
80.1%
Clean Sheet
Racing Club de Lens clean sheet
33.1%
Paris FC clean sheet
13.8%
Draw No Bet
Racing Club de Lens win
72.6%
Paris FC win
27.4%