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Ligue 1 FINISHED
Lille OSC Home
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-1
Stade Brestois 29 Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

55.1%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.78-1.07; Elo differential is 188. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 57%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 31.7pp; entropy 0.91. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 11.

Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

Lille OSCStade Brestois 29
Avg goals for1.461.25
Avg goals against1.041.64
BTTS rate43%64%
Games sampled——
Position411

Full market breakdown

1X2

Lille OSC win
55.1%
Draw
23.4%
Stade Brestois 29 win
21.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%

Double Chance

1X (Lille OSC or draw)
78.5%
X2 (draw or Stade Brestois 29)
44.9%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
93.4%
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Under 4.5
83.9%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC clean sheet
34.2%
Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet
16.8%

Draw No Bet

Lille OSC win
71.9%
Stade Brestois 29 win
28.1%