Olympique Lyonnais
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-1
OGC Nice
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
65.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.09-0.87; Elo differential is 194. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 57%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 44.8pp; entropy 0.81. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 14.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Olympique Lyonnais | OGC Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.81 | 0.75 |
| Avg goals against | 0.90 | 1.42 |
| BTTS rate | 47% | 48% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 14 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Olympique Lyonnais win
65.1%
Draw
20.3%
OGC Nice win
14.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Double Chance
1X (Olympique Lyonnais or draw)
85.3%
X2 (draw or OGC Nice)
34.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.1%
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Under 4.5
82.1%
Clean Sheet
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet
41.8%
OGC Nice clean sheet
12.4%
Draw No Bet
Olympique Lyonnais win
81.6%
OGC Nice win
18.4%