FC Lorient
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Sat, 10 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-0
Paris FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
36.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.35-1.38; Elo differential is -4. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 54%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 1.4pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 3.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| FC Lorient | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.28 | 1.57 |
| Avg goals against | 1.26 | 0.91 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 51% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Lorient win
35.5%
Draw
27.6%
Paris FC win
36.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Double Chance
1X (FC Lorient or draw)
63.1%
X2 (draw or Paris FC)
64.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Under 4.5
85.8%
Clean Sheet
FC Lorient clean sheet
25.1%
Paris FC clean sheet
25.9%
Draw No Bet
FC Lorient win
49.1%
Paris FC win
50.9%