Paris Saint-Germain FC
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-1
Le Mans FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
70.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.67-1.16; Elo differential is 292. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 18%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 54.0pp; entropy 0.74. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 9.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Le Mans FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.44 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals against | 1.27 | 1.77 |
| BTTS rate | 68% | 100% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 9 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
70.3%
Draw
16.2%
Le Mans FC win
13.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64.6%
No
35.4%
Double Chance
1X (Paris Saint-Germain FC or draw)
86.5%
X2 (draw or Le Mans FC)
29.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
97.3%
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Over 2.5
73.7%
Under 2.5
26.3%
Over 3.5
53.4%
Under 3.5
46.6%
Under 4.5
66.0%
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC clean sheet
31.2%
Le Mans FC clean sheet
6.9%
Draw No Bet
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
83.9%
Le Mans FC win
16.1%