AS Monaco FC
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-2
Toulouse FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
57.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.98-1.14; Elo differential is 165. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 51%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 35.0pp; entropy 0.89. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 13.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| AS Monaco FC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.69 | 1.43 |
| Avg goals against | 1.20 | 1.68 |
| BTTS rate | 65% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 13 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
AS Monaco FC win
57.1%
Draw
22.1%
Toulouse FC win
20.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Double Chance
1X (AS Monaco FC or draw)
79.2%
X2 (draw or Toulouse FC)
42.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Under 4.5
79.5%
Clean Sheet
AS Monaco FC clean sheet
32.0%
Toulouse FC clean sheet
13.8%
Draw No Bet
AS Monaco FC win
73.3%
Toulouse FC win
26.7%