Lille OSC
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Le Havre AC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
59.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.83-0.95; Elo differential is 227. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 57%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 36.7pp; entropy 0.87. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 18.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Lille OSC | Le Havre AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Avg goals against | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| BTTS rate | 43% | 56% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Lille OSC win
59.3%
Draw
22.6%
Le Havre AC win
18.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Double Chance
1X (Lille OSC or draw)
81.9%
X2 (draw or Le Havre AC)
40.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Under 4.5
85.1%
Clean Sheet
Lille OSC clean sheet
38.8%
Le Havre AC clean sheet
16.0%
Draw No Bet
Lille OSC win
76.7%
Le Havre AC win
23.3%