Le Mans FC
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-1
FC Lorient
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
38.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.48-1.56; Elo differential is 43. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 48%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 3.2pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 15.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Le Mans FC | FC Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Avg goals against | 2.52 | 1.24 |
| BTTS rate | 100% | 51% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Le Mans FC win
35.7%
Draw
25.4%
FC Lorient win
38.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Double Chance
1X (Le Mans FC or draw)
61.1%
X2 (draw or FC Lorient)
64.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.6%
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Under 4.5
80.8%
Clean Sheet
Le Mans FC clean sheet
21.1%
FC Lorient clean sheet
22.7%
Draw No Bet
Le Mans FC win
47.9%
FC Lorient win
52.1%