Paris FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
RC Strasbourg Alsace
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
49.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.81-1.25; Elo differential is 26. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 80%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 24.1pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 10.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Paris FC | RC Strasbourg Alsace | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.52 | 1.63 |
| Avg goals against | 0.89 | 1.79 |
| BTTS rate | 45% | 70% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Paris FC win
49.9%
Draw
24.3%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
25.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Double Chance
1X (Paris FC or draw)
74.2%
X2 (draw or RC Strasbourg Alsace)
50.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.7%
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Under 4.5
80.4%
Clean Sheet
Paris FC clean sheet
28.6%
RC Strasbourg Alsace clean sheet
16.3%
Draw No Bet
Paris FC win
65.9%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
34.1%