Toulouse FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-2
Le Havre AC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.61-1.08; Elo differential is 93. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 83%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 22.7pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 14.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Toulouse FC | Le Havre AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Avg goals against | 1.57 | 1.20 |
| BTTS rate | 48% | 51% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 16 | 14 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Toulouse FC win
49.0%
Draw
26.3%
Le Havre AC win
24.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Double Chance
1X (Toulouse FC or draw)
75.3%
X2 (draw or Le Havre AC)
51.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.4%
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Over 2.5
50.2%
Under 2.5
49.8%
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Under 4.5
86.6%
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC clean sheet
34.1%
Le Havre AC clean sheet
20.1%
Draw No Bet
Toulouse FC win
66.4%
Le Havre AC win
33.6%