← Back to predictions
Ligue 1 FINISHED
Le Mans FC Home
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-2
Racing Club de Lens Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

62.8%
High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.35-2.20; Elo differential is -65. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 96%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 44.0pp; entropy 0.84. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 3.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC

Team form

Le Mans FCRacing Club de Lens
Avg goals for2.002.46
Avg goals against2.001.30
BTTS rate100%57%
Games sampled——
Position73

Full market breakdown

1X2

Le Mans FC win
18.4%
Draw
18.8%
Racing Club de Lens win
62.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%

Double Chance

1X (Le Mans FC or draw)
37.2%
X2 (draw or Racing Club de Lens)
81.6%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
96.5%
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Over 2.5
65.9%
Under 2.5
34.1%
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Under 4.5
74.6%

Clean Sheet

Le Mans FC clean sheet
11.7%
Racing Club de Lens clean sheet
27.8%

Draw No Bet

Le Mans FC win
22.6%
Racing Club de Lens win
77.4%