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Ligue 1 FINISHED
Racing Club de Lens Home
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-1
FC Lorient Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

68.2%
Very High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.01-1.06; Elo differential is 157. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 96%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 50.3pp; entropy 0.77. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 12.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC

Team form

Racing Club de LensFC Lorient
Avg goals for2.461.30
Avg goals against1.301.13
BTTS rate57%44%
Games sampled——
Position312

Full market breakdown

1X2

Racing Club de Lens win
68.2%
Draw
17.9%
FC Lorient win
13.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%

Double Chance

1X (Racing Club de Lens or draw)
86.1%
X2 (draw or FC Lorient)
31.8%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Under 4.5
81.9%

Clean Sheet

Racing Club de Lens clean sheet
37.2%
FC Lorient clean sheet
12.0%

Draw No Bet

Racing Club de Lens win
83.0%
FC Lorient win
17.0%