Olympique Lyonnais
Home
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 17:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
AJ Auxerre
Away
Confidence
54.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.82-0.97; Elo differential is 173. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 94%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 29.3pp; entropy 0.91. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 17.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Olympique Lyonnais | AJ Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.65 | 1.39 |
| Avg goals against | 1.21 | 1.72 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 55% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Olympique Lyonnais win
54.7%
Draw
25.4%
AJ Auxerre win
19.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Double Chance
1X (Olympique Lyonnais or draw)
80.2%
X2 (draw or AJ Auxerre)
45.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Under 4.5
86.5%
Clean Sheet
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet
38.5%
AJ Auxerre clean sheet
15.9%
Draw No Bet
Olympique Lyonnais win
73.4%
AJ Auxerre win
26.6%