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Ligue 1 FINISHED
ES Troyes AC Home
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 2-6
RC Strasbourg Alsace Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

38.6%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.07-1.04; Elo differential is -1. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 94%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 2.2pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 18.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC

Team form

ES Troyes ACRC Strasbourg Alsace
Avg goals for0.001.56
Avg goals against0.001.92
BTTS rate0%65%
Games sampled——
Position1118

Full market breakdown

1X2

ES Troyes AC win
25.1%
Draw
36.4%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
38.6%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%

Double Chance

1X (ES Troyes AC or draw)
61.4%
X2 (draw or RC Strasbourg Alsace)
74.9%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
85.9%
Over 1.5
61.6%
Under 1.5
38.4%
Over 2.5
33.7%
Under 2.5
66.3%
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Under 4.5
94.0%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC clean sheet
35.9%
RC Strasbourg Alsace clean sheet
36.0%

Draw No Bet

ES Troyes AC win
39.4%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
60.6%