Lille OSC
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Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 2-2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
42.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.19-1.42; Elo differential is -79. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 52%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 10.7pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 8.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Lille OSC | Paris Saint-Germain FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.38 | 2.39 |
| Avg goals against | 0.73 | 1.30 |
| BTTS rate | 28% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 8 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Lille OSC win
26.4%
Draw
31.4%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
42.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Double Chance
1X (Lille OSC or draw)
57.8%
X2 (draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC)
73.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Under 4.5
87.8%
Clean Sheet
Lille OSC clean sheet
22.7%
Paris Saint-Germain FC clean sheet
29.6%
Draw No Bet
Lille OSC win
38.5%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
61.5%