Paris FC
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-0
OGC Nice
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.62-0.95; Elo differential is 121. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 93%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 24.4pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 13.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Paris FC | OGC Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| Avg goals against | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| BTTS rate | 52% | 48% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 13 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Paris FC win
49.7%
Draw
25.2%
OGC Nice win
25.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Double Chance
1X (Paris FC or draw)
74.9%
X2 (draw or OGC Nice)
50.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.1%
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Under 4.5
88.9%
Clean Sheet
Paris FC clean sheet
38.1%
OGC Nice clean sheet
20.0%
Draw No Bet
Paris FC win
66.4%
OGC Nice win
33.6%