Stade Rennais FC 1901
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-2
Le Mans FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
62.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.41-1.35; Elo differential is 129. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 41.1pp; entropy 0.84. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 7.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Le Mans FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals against | 1.59 | 2.00 |
| BTTS rate | 68% | 100% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 7 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win
62.0%
Draw
17.2%
Le Mans FC win
20.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Double Chance
1X (Stade Rennais FC 1901 or draw)
79.2%
X2 (draw or Le Mans FC)
38.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
97.4%
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Over 2.5
71.7%
Under 2.5
28.3%
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Under 4.5
69.4%
Clean Sheet
Stade Rennais FC 1901 clean sheet
26.3%
Le Mans FC clean sheet
8.9%
Draw No Bet
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win
74.8%
Le Mans FC win
25.2%