Racing Club de Lens
Home
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 5-2
AJ Auxerre
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
67.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.14-0.97; Elo differential is 188. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 95%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 48.5pp; entropy 0.77. Selective pick: ELITE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Racing Club de Lens | AJ Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.04 | 1.28 |
| Avg goals against | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 46% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Racing Club de Lens win
67.6%
Draw
19.0%
AJ Auxerre win
13.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Double Chance
1X (Racing Club de Lens or draw)
86.6%
X2 (draw or AJ Auxerre)
32.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Over 2.5
59.6%
Under 2.5
40.4%
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Under 4.5
79.3%
Clean Sheet
Racing Club de Lens clean sheet
39.9%
AJ Auxerre clean sheet
11.5%
Draw No Bet
Racing Club de Lens win
83.4%
AJ Auxerre win
16.6%