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Ligue 1 FINISHED
Stade Rennais FC 1901 Home
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-2
Paris Saint-Germain FC Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

44.2%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.41-2.04; Elo differential is -132. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 15.7pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC

Team form

Stade Rennais FC 1901Paris Saint-Germain FC
Avg goals for1.862.44
Avg goals against1.531.23
BTTS rate63%56%
Games sampled

Full market breakdown

1X2

Stade Rennais FC 1901 win
27.4%
Draw
28.4%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
44.2%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%

Double Chance

1X (Stade Rennais FC 1901 or draw)
55.8%
X2 (draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC)
72.6%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
96.1%
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Over 2.5
66.6%
Under 2.5
33.4%
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Under 4.5
76.6%

Clean Sheet

Stade Rennais FC 1901 clean sheet
12.8%
Paris Saint-Germain FC clean sheet
24.4%

Draw No Bet

Stade Rennais FC 1901 win
38.3%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
61.7%