Olympique de Marseille
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Fri, 21 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 4-0
RC Strasbourg Alsace
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.15-1.39; Elo differential is 50. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 82%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 16.6pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Olympique de Marseille | RC Strasbourg Alsace | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.42 | 1.83 |
| Avg goals against | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 76% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Olympique de Marseille win
45.0%
Draw
26.6%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
28.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Double Chance
1X (Olympique de Marseille or draw)
71.6%
X2 (draw or RC Strasbourg Alsace)
55.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
86.2%
Under 1.5
13.8%
Over 2.5
66.2%
Under 2.5
33.8%
Over 3.5
44.4%
Under 3.5
55.6%
Under 4.5
75.4%
Clean Sheet
Olympique de Marseille clean sheet
27.5%
RC Strasbourg Alsace clean sheet
12.6%
Draw No Bet
Olympique de Marseille win
61.3%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win
38.7%