OGC Nice
Home
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-1
Final score: 0-0
FC Lorient
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
34.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: DRAW. Hierarchical model xG 1.19-1.31; Elo differential is 5. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 95%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 1.2pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| OGC Nice | FC Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.92 | 1.52 |
| Avg goals against | 1.66 | 1.31 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 52% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
OGC Nice win
33.4%
Draw
34.6%
FC Lorient win
32.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Double Chance
1X (OGC Nice or draw)
68.0%
X2 (draw or FC Lorient)
66.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
89.0%
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Under 4.5
90.6%
Clean Sheet
OGC Nice clean sheet
29.2%
FC Lorient clean sheet
31.9%
Draw No Bet
OGC Nice win
51.0%
FC Lorient win
49.0%