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Ligue 1 FINISHED
Angers SCO Home
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 0-2
Lille OSC Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

54.7%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 0.69-1.37; Elo differential is -115. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 90%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 27.2pp; entropy 0.90. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC

Team form

Angers SCOLille OSC
Avg goals for0.791.26
Avg goals against1.580.88
BTTS rate49%32%
Games sampled

Full market breakdown

1X2

Angers SCO win
17.9%
Draw
27.5%
Lille OSC win
54.7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%

Double Chance

1X (Angers SCO or draw)
45.3%
X2 (draw or Lille OSC)
82.1%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
87.0%
Over 1.5
62.4%
Under 1.5
37.6%
Over 2.5
31.7%
Under 2.5
68.3%
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Under 4.5
94.6%

Clean Sheet

Angers SCO clean sheet
24.8%
Lille OSC clean sheet
51.2%

Draw No Bet

Angers SCO win
24.6%
Lille OSC win
75.4%