Toulouse FC
Home
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-2
Olympique Lyonnais
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
38.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.26-1.48; Elo differential is -16. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 93%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 0.5pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Toulouse FC | Olympique Lyonnais | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| Avg goals against | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 57% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Toulouse FC win
38.3%
Draw
23.8%
Olympique Lyonnais win
37.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Double Chance
1X (Toulouse FC or draw)
62.1%
X2 (draw or Olympique Lyonnais)
61.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.3%
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Under 4.5
87.5%
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC clean sheet
22.2%
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet
29.6%
Draw No Bet
Toulouse FC win
50.3%
Olympique Lyonnais win
49.7%