Le Havre AC
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Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:15 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 0-1
AS Monaco FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
43.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.14-1.55; Elo differential is -57. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 79%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 14.3pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Le Havre AC | AS Monaco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.03 | 1.73 |
| Avg goals against | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 66% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Le Havre AC win
29.7%
Draw
26.4%
AS Monaco FC win
43.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Double Chance
1X (Le Havre AC or draw)
56.1%
X2 (draw or AS Monaco FC)
70.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.4%
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Under 4.5
87.3%
Clean Sheet
Le Havre AC clean sheet
21.2%
AS Monaco FC clean sheet
32.8%
Draw No Bet
Le Havre AC win
40.3%
AS Monaco FC win
59.7%