Fulham FC
Home
Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-3
Chelsea FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.40-1.35; Elo differential is 46. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 86%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 5.1pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Fulham FC | Chelsea FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Avg goals against | 1.18 | 1.84 |
| BTTS rate | 42% | 65% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Fulham FC win
40.2%
Draw
24.8%
Chelsea FC win
35.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Double Chance
1X (Fulham FC or draw)
65.0%
X2 (draw or Chelsea FC)
59.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Under 4.5
85.8%
Clean Sheet
Fulham FC clean sheet
25.2%
Chelsea FC clean sheet
24.4%
Draw No Bet
Fulham FC win
53.4%
Chelsea FC win
46.6%