Manchester United FC
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:30 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 5-2
Ipswich Town FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
48.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.54-0.99; Elo differential is 112. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 13%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 22.2pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 8.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Manchester United FC | Ipswich Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.64 | 1.78 |
| Avg goals against | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| BTTS rate | 59% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 16 | 8 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Manchester United FC win
48.2%
Draw
26.0%
Ipswich Town FC win
25.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Double Chance
1X (Manchester United FC or draw)
74.1%
X2 (draw or Ipswich Town FC)
51.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.1%
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Over 2.5
66.9%
Under 2.5
33.1%
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Under 4.5
74.0%
Clean Sheet
Manchester United FC clean sheet
38.5%
Ipswich Town FC clean sheet
8.4%
Draw No Bet
Manchester United FC win
65.1%
Ipswich Town FC win
34.9%