Sunderland AFC
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Fulham FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
42.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.25-1.10; Elo differential is 81. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 10.9pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 12.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Sunderland AFC | Fulham FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.15 | 1.24 |
| Avg goals against | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| BTTS rate | 60% | 49% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Sunderland AFC win
42.1%
Draw
26.8%
Fulham FC win
31.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Double Chance
1X (Sunderland AFC or draw)
68.9%
X2 (draw or Fulham FC)
57.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
89.1%
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Under 4.5
91.5%
Clean Sheet
Sunderland AFC clean sheet
33.0%
Fulham FC clean sheet
28.4%
Draw No Bet
Sunderland AFC win
57.5%
Fulham FC win
42.5%