Leeds United FC
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-1
Brentford FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
41.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.38-1.29; Elo differential is 91. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 9.2pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 9 vs 3.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Leeds United FC | Brentford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.29 | 1.58 |
| Avg goals against | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| BTTS rate | 48% | 44% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 9 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Leeds United FC win
41.0%
Draw
27.3%
Brentford FC win
31.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Double Chance
1X (Leeds United FC or draw)
68.2%
X2 (draw or Brentford FC)
59.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.4%
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Under 4.5
87.8%
Clean Sheet
Leeds United FC clean sheet
28.7%
Brentford FC clean sheet
25.3%
Draw No Bet
Leeds United FC win
56.3%
Brentford FC win
43.7%