Manchester City FC
Home
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 1-0
Coventry City FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
67.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.80-0.68; Elo differential is 141. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 13%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 50.1pp; entropy 0.78. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 17.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Manchester City FC | Coventry City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| Avg goals against | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| BTTS rate | 65% | 49% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Manchester City FC win
67.2%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City FC win
15.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Double Chance
1X (Manchester City FC or draw)
84.2%
X2 (draw or Coventry City FC)
32.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Under 4.5
73.8%
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC clean sheet
50.5%
Coventry City FC clean sheet
5.9%
Draw No Bet
Manchester City FC win
81.0%
Coventry City FC win
19.0%