Fulham FC
Home
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-3
Crystal Palace FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
43.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.52-1.02; Elo differential is 82. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 12.5pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 20.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Fulham FC | Crystal Palace FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| Avg goals against | 1.42 | 1.99 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 56% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Fulham FC win
43.0%
Draw
26.4%
Crystal Palace FC win
30.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Double Chance
1X (Fulham FC or draw)
69.4%
X2 (draw or Crystal Palace FC)
57.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.8%
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Under 4.5
89.1%
Clean Sheet
Fulham FC clean sheet
36.1%
Crystal Palace FC clean sheet
20.8%
Draw No Bet
Fulham FC win
58.5%
Crystal Palace FC win
41.5%