Coventry City FC
Home
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
36.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.03-1.71; Elo differential is 90. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 13%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 2.2pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 2.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Coventry City FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| Avg goals against | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 34% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Coventry City FC win
36.5%
Draw
29.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
34.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Double Chance
1X (Coventry City FC or draw)
65.6%
X2 (draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC)
63.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.2%
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Under 4.5
86.1%
Clean Sheet
Coventry City FC clean sheet
18.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet
35.5%
Draw No Bet
Coventry City FC win
51.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
48.5%