Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 3-0
Arsenal FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.33-1.72; Elo differential is -156. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 61%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 16.7pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 2.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Arsenal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.83 | 1.78 |
| Avg goals against | 1.37 | 0.73 |
| BTTS rate | 43% | 38% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
29.2%
Draw
24.9%
Arsenal FC win
45.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Double Chance
1X (Brighton & Hove Albion FC or draw)
54.1%
X2 (draw or Arsenal FC)
70.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.6%
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Under 4.5
80.7%
Clean Sheet
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet
18.0%
Arsenal FC clean sheet
26.4%
Draw No Bet
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
38.9%
Arsenal FC win
61.1%