Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 11:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-3
Aston Villa FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.43-1.42; Elo differential is -59. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 87%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 0.6pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 19 vs 20.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Tottenham Hotspur FC | Aston Villa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| Avg goals against | 1.80 | 1.74 |
| BTTS rate | 48% | 52% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 19 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Tottenham Hotspur FC win
37.1%
Draw
26.4%
Aston Villa FC win
36.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Double Chance
1X (Tottenham Hotspur FC or draw)
63.5%
X2 (draw or Aston Villa FC)
62.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.5%
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Under 4.5
83.9%
Clean Sheet
Tottenham Hotspur FC clean sheet
24.1%
Aston Villa FC clean sheet
23.8%
Draw No Bet
Tottenham Hotspur FC win
50.4%
Aston Villa FC win
49.6%