Nottingham Forest FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-1
Coventry City FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.28-1.22; Elo differential is -7. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 25%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 2.8pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 17.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Nottingham Forest FC | Coventry City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Avg goals against | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| BTTS rate | 58% | 43% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Nottingham Forest FC win
37.1%
Draw
28.6%
Coventry City FC win
34.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Double Chance
1X (Nottingham Forest FC or draw)
65.7%
X2 (draw or Coventry City FC)
62.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.0%
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Under 4.5
89.2%
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet
29.6%
Coventry City FC clean sheet
27.9%
Draw No Bet
Nottingham Forest FC win
51.9%
Coventry City FC win
48.1%