Sunderland AFC
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Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
43.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.27-1.63; Elo differential is 12. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 60%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 13.2pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 3.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Sunderland AFC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.19 | 2.22 |
| Avg goals against | 1.76 | 1.07 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 40% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Sunderland AFC win
30.3%
Draw
26.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
43.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Double Chance
1X (Sunderland AFC or draw)
56.5%
X2 (draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC)
69.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.6%
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Under 4.5
83.1%
Clean Sheet
Sunderland AFC clean sheet
19.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet
28.0%
Draw No Bet
Sunderland AFC win
41.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
58.9%