Coventry City FC
Home
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 4-1
Newcastle United FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.61-1.28; Elo differential is 69. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 18%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 15.1pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 18 vs 9.
Predicted at 28 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Coventry City FC | Newcastle United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.13 | 1.70 |
| Avg goals against | 1.39 | 1.77 |
| BTTS rate | 30% | 77% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 18 | 9 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Coventry City FC win
44.7%
Draw
25.6%
Newcastle United FC win
29.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Double Chance
1X (Coventry City FC or draw)
70.3%
X2 (draw or Newcastle United FC)
55.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.6%
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Under 4.5
83.3%
Clean Sheet
Coventry City FC clean sheet
27.7%
Newcastle United FC clean sheet
19.9%
Draw No Bet
Coventry City FC win
60.1%
Newcastle United FC win
39.9%