Liverpool FC
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Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-3
Manchester City FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.37-1.68; Elo differential is -49. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 53%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 13.2pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 1.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Liverpool FC | Manchester City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.60 | 2.13 |
| Avg goals against | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| BTTS rate | 55% | 52% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Liverpool FC win
30.8%
Draw
25.2%
Manchester City FC win
44.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Double Chance
1X (Liverpool FC or draw)
56.0%
X2 (draw or Manchester City FC)
69.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.4%
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Under 4.5
80.6%
Clean Sheet
Liverpool FC clean sheet
18.6%
Manchester City FC clean sheet
25.3%
Draw No Bet
Liverpool FC win
41.2%
Manchester City FC win
58.8%