Leeds United FC
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-1
Manchester United FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
42.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.52-1.26; Elo differential is 36. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 54%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 11.4pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 12.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Leeds United FC | Manchester United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.38 | 1.97 |
| Avg goals against | 0.90 | 1.22 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 5 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Leeds United FC win
42.4%
Draw
26.6%
Manchester United FC win
31.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Double Chance
1X (Leeds United FC or draw)
69.0%
X2 (draw or Manchester United FC)
57.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Under 4.5
85.0%
Clean Sheet
Leeds United FC clean sheet
28.3%
Manchester United FC clean sheet
21.8%
Draw No Bet
Leeds United FC win
57.7%
Manchester United FC win
42.3%