Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 5-0
Crystal Palace FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.10-1.00; Elo differential is 141. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 60%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 40.5pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 15.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Crystal Palace FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.22 | 1.10 |
| Avg goals against | 1.07 | 1.91 |
| BTTS rate | 40% | 59% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
61.5%
Draw
21.0%
Crystal Palace FC win
17.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Double Chance
1X (Brighton & Hove Albion FC or draw)
82.6%
X2 (draw or Crystal Palace FC)
38.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.7%
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Under 4.5
79.9%
Clean Sheet
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet
36.9%
Crystal Palace FC clean sheet
12.3%
Draw No Bet
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win
77.9%
Crystal Palace FC win
22.1%