Arsenal FC
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-0
Everton FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
62.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.90-0.92; Elo differential is 280. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 36%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 41.1pp; entropy 0.84. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 5.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Arsenal FC | Everton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.64 | 1.35 |
| Avg goals against | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| BTTS rate | 39% | 56% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Arsenal FC win
62.3%
Draw
21.3%
Everton FC win
16.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Double Chance
1X (Arsenal FC or draw)
83.6%
X2 (draw or Everton FC)
37.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.4%
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Under 4.5
84.6%
Clean Sheet
Arsenal FC clean sheet
40.0%
Everton FC clean sheet
15.0%
Draw No Bet
Arsenal FC win
79.2%
Everton FC win
20.8%