Wrexham AFC
Home
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-2
Birmingham City FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
47.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.41-1.26; Elo differential is 84. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 20.2pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 15.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Wrexham AFC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Avg goals against | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| BTTS rate | 74% | 59% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Wrexham AFC win
47.1%
Draw
26.1%
Birmingham City FC win
26.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Double Chance
1X (Wrexham AFC or draw)
73.1%
X2 (draw or Birmingham City FC)
52.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.8%
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Under 4.5
88.1%
Clean Sheet
Wrexham AFC clean sheet
29.5%
Birmingham City FC clean sheet
23.3%
Draw No Bet
Wrexham AFC win
63.7%
Birmingham City FC win
36.3%