Preston North End FC
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Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
0-1
Bristol City FC
Away
Confidence
37.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.33-1.28; Elo differential is 14. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 3.6pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 22 vs 20.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Preston North End FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.09 | 1.15 |
| Avg goals against | 1.87 | 1.55 |
| BTTS rate | 70% | 47% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 22 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Preston North End FC win
33.4%
Draw
29.5%
Bristol City FC win
37.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Double Chance
1X (Preston North End FC or draw)
63.0%
X2 (draw or Bristol City FC)
66.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.3%
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Under 4.5
88.6%
Clean Sheet
Preston North End FC clean sheet
27.4%
Bristol City FC clean sheet
26.6%
Draw No Bet
Preston North End FC win
47.5%
Bristol City FC win
52.5%