Millwall FC
Home
Wed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Wrexham AFC
Away
Confidence
53.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.67-0.98; Elo differential is 134. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 27.0pp; entropy 0.91. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 16.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Millwall FC | Wrexham AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.64 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals against | 0.66 | 1.56 |
| BTTS rate | 38% | 76% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Millwall FC win
53.9%
Draw
26.9%
Wrexham AFC win
19.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Double Chance
1X (Millwall FC or draw)
80.9%
X2 (draw or Wrexham AFC)
46.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.4%
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Under 4.5
87.9%
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC clean sheet
37.6%
Wrexham AFC clean sheet
18.8%
Draw No Bet
Millwall FC win
73.8%
Wrexham AFC win
26.2%