Burnley FC
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Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 1-2
Bristol City FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.65-0.94; Elo differential is 33. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 4.4pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 19 vs 20.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Burnley FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Avg goals against | 2.10 | 1.55 |
| BTTS rate | 69% | 47% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 19 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Burnley FC win
29.8%
Draw
32.9%
Bristol City FC win
37.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Double Chance
1X (Burnley FC or draw)
62.7%
X2 (draw or Bristol City FC)
70.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.7%
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Under 4.5
88.9%
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC clean sheet
37.2%
Bristol City FC clean sheet
20.8%
Draw No Bet
Burnley FC win
44.4%
Bristol City FC win
55.6%