Lincoln City FC
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Sat, 05 Sep 2026 11:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Southampton FC
Away
Confidence
52.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.14-2.58; Elo differential is -24. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 25.5pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 21 vs 11.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Lincoln City FC | Southampton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.00 | 1.96 |
| Avg goals against | 2.51 | 1.08 |
| BTTS rate | 100% | 73% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 21 | 11 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Lincoln City FC win
21.5%
Draw
26.5%
Southampton FC win
52.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Double Chance
1X (Lincoln City FC or draw)
48.0%
X2 (draw or Southampton FC)
78.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
89.1%
Under 1.5
10.9%
Over 2.5
69.7%
Under 2.5
30.3%
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Under 4.5
71.5%
Clean Sheet
Lincoln City FC clean sheet
8.8%
Southampton FC clean sheet
31.2%
Draw No Bet
Lincoln City FC win
29.3%
Southampton FC win
70.7%